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Glyph of Scavenger on harvesting tool has a lower drop rate?


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> @"len.7809" said:

> https://imgur.com/a/LXSZnW1

> (4 screenshoots.)

> gathered Harvesting tool with scavenger 24 times. 3 mats droped

> gathered Logging Tool with scavenger 25 times, 5 mats droped.

>

> the drop rate on Harvesting tool is lower for me for some reason. anyone can explain?

 

You haven't provided evidence that the drop rate is lower. You've only provided evidence that you personally saw fewer bonus drops in a small number of gathers. With fewer than a few 100 attempts, you might have had a unlucky streak with plants and a lucky streak with trees. For example, if the true rate was 4 bonuses per 25 attempts, then a single "missed" plant bonus and a single "extra" tree bonus would do it.

 

Generally speaking, you want each 'bin' that you're estimating to have 50+ drops (although 25 will do in a pinch). With 50, an 'extra' or 'missing' only affects your estimate of the true rate by ±2%. With only 3 per bin, it's ±33% and with 5, it's still ±20%; that's too big a potential discrepancy to draw statistical conclusions.

 

Also unclear: by "25 gathers with a logging tool," do you mean 75 gathers? or 8 interactions of 3 gathers each plus an extra bonus 'whack'?

 

 

 

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> @"Illconceived Was Na.9781" said:

>

> You haven't provided evidence that the drop rate is lower. You've only provided evidence that you personally saw fewer bonus drops in a small number of gathers. With fewer than a few 100 attempts, you might have had a unlucky streak with plants and a lucky streak with trees. For example, if the true rate was 4 bonuses per 25 attempts, then a single "missed" plant bonus and a single "extra" tree bonus would do it.

>

> Generally speaking, you want each 'bin' that you're estimating to have 50+ drops (although 25 will do in a pinch). With 50, an 'extra' or 'missing' only affects your estimate of the true rate by ±2%. With only 3 per bin, it's ±33% and with 5, it's still ±20%; that's too big a potential discrepancy to draw statistical conclusions.

>

> Also unclear: by "25 gathers with a logging tool," do you mean 75 gathers? or 8 interactions of 3 gathers each plus an extra bonus 'whack'?

>

 

8 interactions of 3 gathers each plus an extra bonus 'whack'

 

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